Gravis Marketing, Inc. Florida Poll

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After a September 2 telephone poll by Gravis Marketing of 1200 likely or somewhat likely voters in Florida, Presidential candidate Mitt Romney maintains a slight lead over current President Barack Obama. With a 2.7% margin of error, Romney earned 48.0% of the vote to Obama?s 46.7%.The Republican National Convention, held in Tampa, did not help Romney?s campaign gain ground in Florida. During the last poll, taken on August 20, voters gave him 48% to Obama?s 45%. The polls also measured voters based on gender. Overall, male voters support Romney while women voters support Obama.Slightly more than 5% of the polled voters remain undecided. In the polls, 2.3% of undecided voters expressed interest in voting for Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson. His name will be on the ballots in all 50 states, and the votes from Florida could swing the election results.In addition to the Presidential race, voters will choose a United States Senator. Republican Connie Mack and Democrat Bill Nelson, the current Senator, are competing for the position. Polls give Nelson a 43.4% lead over Mack?s 41.6%. The August poll results gave Nelson 46% of the votes to Mack?s 38%. If voters follow through and vote along the poll?s results, Democrat Nelson will retain his Senate seat.In the same September 2 poll, voters expressed their opinion toward current Republican Governor Rick Scott. Based on the voters? responses, he received an approval rating of 33.9%. During the August poll, his approval rating sat at 35%. Likewise, his disapproval rate rose from 38% in August to 40.1% now. Because he holds the office until 2014, he still had time to make changes that increase his approval rating.

Gravis Marketing Ohio Post Convention Poll

Gravis Marketing and Capitol Correspondent conducteda survey of 1,381 registered voters on the afternoon and evening of September 2, 2012 in the state of Ohio. Thesurvey covered the same questions as the one from the week prior, dealing with preference for the presidentialcandidates, Senate candidates Josh Mandel and Sherrod Brown, Governor Kasich?s job performance, whetherAmerica is headed in the right direction, which presidential candidate is more charitable, and opinions about theappropriateness of homosexual marriage.  Overall, with a margin of error of 2.9%, Obama?s previous lead over Romney of 45.3% to 44.4% has switched to a Romney lead of 46.8%to 43.7%. Although within the previous polls margin of error, the Republican convention appears to have given Romney a 2 point bump while taking 1 point from Obama. Switching to the Senate race, before the Republican convention, Democrat Sherrod Brown held a narrow 43.6% to 41.4% lead over Republican Josh Mandel.Again, although within the margin of error, the post-convention poll gives Republican Mandel the advantage at 44.3% to 43.5%, representing a 3 point bump for Mandel, while Brown?s take staying basically constant. Both polls continue to indicate that the undecided voters will determine the outcome of the elections.These results for Obama in Ohio by age are not surprising given his 61% pull in exit polls in the younger age group in 2008. The only Ohio age group that Obama lost, in fact, during these exit polls, was the 65+ group. Obama also received majority support from both males and females in the state in the last presidential election.

Full Analysis and Cross Tabs.

 

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