Hilbroy Advisory: Opec Sees Economic Strain of High Oil Prices

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Montreal, Quebec, April 12, 2011– Hilbroy Advisory Inc. (DeutcheBörse: 2H0) Hilbroy Advisory Reports: Costly oil could place a major strain on consumer countries with convalescent economies, Opec ministers said yesterday, in their clearest statements yet they see reduced demand for their crude.
Leading Opec member Saudi Arabia on Sunday confirmed the kingdom had cut output by more than 800 000 barrels per day (bpd) in March because of weak demand.
Saudi Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi said yesterday the world economy was still fragile. Brent crude earlier this month rose above US$127 a barrel, its highest level in more than two and a half years.
It has since fallen back to around US$122, with yesterday’s sell-off attributed in part to Saudi Arabia’s comment on demand.
“At these high price levels, spending on oil imports could represent a significant economic burden for many import dependent countries,” Kuwait’s Oil Minister Sheikh Ahmad al-Abdullah al-Sabah said in a speech at the meeting.
Consuming nations have been the first to argue the oil price is high enough to erode demand for fuel and knock back economic growth.
OPEC ministers have been slower to make a connection between price and demand destruction and some OPEC delegates have cited Japan’s nuclear disaster as one reason for reduced oil consumption.
The shut-down of Japanese nuclear power is expected to lead to higher oil consumption for power generation this year but demand in the world’s third-biggest oil user after the United States and China has fallen. Japan is importing 4,2 million bpd of oil, a senior government official said on Sunday, roughly 800 000 bpd less than the country consumed in February. Saudi is Japan’s biggest crude supplier. Saudi Arabia in the past has said US$70-US$80 a barrel is appropriate for producer nations that need to invest in new supply and yet not too high for consumer countries.
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